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Crown Green Handicap

Pat Ashley

Team: New Brighton Quarry Vikings DDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

396

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

24

Matches Played

1

Wins

23

Losses

4%

Win Rate

4.0

Avg Win Margin

11.7

Avg Loss Margin

0-9

Home Record

1-14

Away Record

38%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
24 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/26/2019

Only 24 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 24 matches

+15 Rising
5 May31 Jul14 Aug18 May17 May21 Jun15 Jul26 Jul-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
4%
score-0.92→contribution-0.37
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
4.0
score-0.67→contribution-0.17
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.7
score-0.61→contribution-0.09
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
5%
score-0.90→contribution-0.09
Opponent Strength(10%)
697
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.815
Sample Size Confidence
38%(24/39 matches)
Rating593 → shrunk 846→ adjusted 396
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

1W23L24 matches·4.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
New Brighton Quarry Vikings D2017–2019League 3241234.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/26/2019Alan GreenA1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2019Ian HawesH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2019Ian HawesA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2019Cath ClemenceH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2019Ann Marie WatersA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2019Joan LawrenceH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2019Joan LawrenceA2-21LOSS-19LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2019Ian HamiltonA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
5/31/2019Janet SnedkerH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2019Chloe CavanaghA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2019Margaret ProwseA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
5/21/2018Derek CarrollH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2018Fred ConwayA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
5/4/2018Andrew ParnellA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2017Derek ThomasH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
8/14/2017John WyburnH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2017Clifford SmithA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
8/4/2017Lorna FosterH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2017Dennis PattersonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/14/2017Kevin PulhamA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2017Sue ShawA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/5/2017Duncan HolmesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2017Doreen ButlerH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2017John LeaityA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl3 games · 0W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundRoger HamerBebington Park4-21LOSSLOST
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary Round# Bob HodgsonUpton Victory Hall5-21LOSSLOST
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPeter BuckneyPensby B9-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

7losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

16

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLLLLLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ian Hawes0220%7/22/2019
Joan Lawrence0220%6/28/2019
Alan Green0110%7/26/2019
Cath Clemence0110%7/15/2019
Ann Marie Waters0110%7/12/2019
Ian Hamilton101100%6/14/2019
Janet Snedker0110%5/31/2019
Chloe Cavanagh0110%5/17/2019
Margaret Prowse0110%5/3/2019
Derek Carroll0110%5/21/2018
Biggest Win
Ian Hamilton (+4)6/14/2019
Heaviest Defeat
Alan Green (-20)7/26/2019
Best Season
20199% · 11 matches
Worst Season
20170% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 8%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
66922 known · 2 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
1-215% win rate
League 34.2%
1W·23L·24 played

Debut

Apr 21, 2017

Latest

Jul 26, 2019

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

8.0 (24 total)

Seasons

201720182019